Exclusive JNews Lebanon
The Lebanese stage is vacillating at its most delicate historical juncture between a “fragile truce” imposed by top-down pressure and complex diplomatic backstage maneuvers unfolding in the US capital, Washington. While ambiguity and doubts surround the “impromptu ceasefire” announced by US President Donald Trump, and as the fourth round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations convenes behind closed doors at the US Department of State, the southern battlefield continues to burn under the weight of ongoing Israeli expansion and bombardment, amidst insistence from the resistance factions to continue field operations. However, the most prominent paradox remains the sidelining of the southern suburb of Beirut (Dahieh) from targeting, allowing residents a cautious return after long hours of fear, raising the ultimate question: Is this exclusion temporary or permanent?
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Stormy Backstage in Washington
Diplomatic sources close to and monitoring the situation tell JNews Lebanon about stormy details that preceded the launching of the fourth round of negotiations. Our investigative information indicates that the temporary truce deal and the injection to prevent “negotiation paralysis” came after a direct and sharp intervention by US President Donald Trump with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
According to our sources in the US capital, Trump used an unprecedented escalatory tone against Netanyahu, describing him as “crazy” and reminding him of the American “favor” that he was the one who saved him from prison, warning against wasting the current negotiation opportunity because his policies have become hated and deepen Israel’s international isolation. This massive American pressure is what led to the “postponement” of a destructive Israeli strike that was on the verge of occurring in the southern suburb of Beirut.
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Meanwhile, the fourth round convened in Washington was surrounded by absolute secrecy. However, JNews information leaked from the corridors of the US State Department indicates that the Israeli delegation blamed the Lebanese delegation, citing statements by Hezbollah officials that openly reject the “partial security equation” (i.e., not striking the suburb in exchange for not striking northern Israel). In this context, American quarters quoted Secretary of State Marco Rubio as confirming the receipt of communications on behalf of the party through official Lebanese channels, indicating a silent commitment not to strike Israel unless Beirut is targeted.
The Islamabad-Washington Line
While the Lebanese negotiator in Washington insists on extracting a commitment to a comprehensive and complete ceasefire that includes the suburb, the south, and the Beqaa together, refusing to leave the south to its geographical fate, JNews Lebanon has learned from regional intelligence sources that the Iranian side entered directly on the line of parallel pressure.
Our private information indicates that Tehran sent an urgent and secret wire to the US administration via the Pakistani mediator, in which it clearly warned: “If the suburb is bombed again, the Israeli north will be completely blown up with missiles.” This regional intersection puts Lebanon once again on the table of pull-and-push; while the Lebanese delegation negotiates in Washington, Iran is trying to place the file on the parallel “Islamabad” talks table. This is what prompted Western diplomatic sources via our website to stress the necessity of settling the Lebanese file, separating diplomatic tracks, and not granting Tehran the final word in deciding the fate of Lebanese peace.
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Secrets of Baabda and Ayn al-Tineh
Politically, and while official parties remain silent regarding the true core of the agreement for fear of public embarrassment, Baabda and Ayn al-Tineh are taking the path of positive anticipation. High-level sources at the Baabda Palace reveal to JNews Lebanon that the official Lebanese proposal raised in the fourth round is based on a strategy of “simultaneous parallelism between two tracks”:
- The First Track: Commitment to a clear timetable for full Israeli withdrawal from the south, the return of the displaced, and the return of prisoners.
- The Parallel Second Track: Restricting weapons and extending the authority of the state and the Lebanese Army over all Lebanese territories without exception.
This Lebanese direction, supported by a unified national stance issued by the summit of spiritual authorities at the Druze Community Headquarters (Dar al-Taifa) to protect civil peace, integrates with a prominent triple Arab movement led by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Egypt. Our diplomatic information confirms that this Arab axis succeeded in “mending” the recent negotiation rifts and played the most prominent role in preventing things from sliding toward a total explosion, dismantling Benjamin Netanyahu’s strategic dream of seizing and occupying areas south of the Litani and expanding the buffer zone.
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Today, Lebanon has officially entered its fourth month in the furnace of this war; either Washington’s pressures and the Arab cover will lead to the formulation of a sustainable agreement and a comprehensive cessation of fire, or the fragile suburb truce will remain mere a warrior’s break awaiting a new fiery storm.
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