Written by Aline Barakat for JNews Lebanon
Amid surging Israeli violations of the ceasefire agreement and the escalating rhetoric of Hezbollah’s Secretary-General, Sheikh Naim Qassem—who recently threatened to topple the government and take to the streets—Lebanon’s political board is undergoing a massive shakeup.
High-level ministerial sources revealed to JNews Lebanon that the political authority is trapped in an unprecedented state of paralysis. The government is not only deeply divided but fundamentally incapable of taking a decisive stance; it cannot afford to antagonize Washington, yet it cannot remain silent regarding the ongoing destruction in South Lebanon.
The Great Contradiction & the Aoun-Berri Nexus
Insiders state that Lebanon is facing an existential paradox: Hezbollah is simultaneously inside the government and acting against it, fighting on the frontlines while demanding a ceasefire, and pushing for the return of displaced citizens while towns are being leveled. To bypass this deadlock, JNews Lebanon learned that high-stakes, behind-the-scenes channels between President of the Republic General Joseph Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri have intensified. This crucial dialogue never actually stopped despite public rumors, and it aims to re-engage Hezbollah on solid, unyielding grounds.
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Diplomatic Expansion: No US Military Intervention
The upcoming strategy involves deploying special envoys to key decision-making capitals, starting with France—which currently feels sidelined—followed by the European Union, Riyadh, Doha, Abu Dhabi, and Cairo. Concurrently, Lebanon aims to intensify communication with the United States to secure “security coordination that restores stability,” completely dismissing radical theories such as deploying a US brigade or relying on the US military to militarily overthrow Hezbollah.
The Inevitable Ultimatum: Weapons or Ruin
Ministerial sources concluded to JNews Lebanon with a definitive reality check: “Sooner or later, Hezbollah will face two stark choices within the Lebanese house: either surrender its weapons or face total destruction.” Following the state’s strict decision regarding the exclusivity of arms under the Lebanese Army, it has become clear that the era of parallel weapons has expired. A weapon that served a purpose in the past is now yielding entirely counterproductive results, and this is precisely where the real dialogue must begin.
Read also Behind the Scenes: The US “Betrayal Message” to Ain el-Tineh
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