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written by Joyce houeiss for JNews Lebanon\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n
The ink has barely dried on the signing of the trilateral “Framework Agreement” in Washington, yet its aftershocks are already reverberating like a political and security earthquake across Lebanese political salons. It raises the ultimate question currently consuming decision-making capitals: Will this agreement fundamentally flip the internal and regional balance of power in Lebanon, potentially marking the beginning of the end for non-state weaponry?<\/strong><\/p>\n The agreement explicitly dictates working toward permanent peace and security between Lebanon and Israel, ending the state of war, ceasing hostilities, and thoroughly addressing the root causes of the conflict. This development has triggered intense public friction and anticipation, splitting Lebanese public opinion down the middle between those welcoming the reclamation of state legitimacy and those warning of a dangerous leap into the unknown.<\/p>\n Highly placed political sources close to the matter have disclosed to JNews Lebanon that the corridors of Haret Hreik are experiencing a state of total, unprecedented fury following the announcement of the framework agreement. Our exclusive sources reveal that Hezbollah’s leadership views the formula signed in Washington\u2014backed heavily by Baabda and the Serail\u2014as a direct attempt to encircle the group and strip away its battlefield legitimacy through an unprecedented international and regional diplomatic cover.<\/strong><\/p>\n Sources clarify that the core of the group\u2019s anxiety and anger is not merely confined to the “Model Zones” clause (agreed upon by both the Lebanese and Israeli militaries), but rather stems from the Lebanese state\u2019s explicit and documented commitment within the text to “reclaiming total sovereignty and achieving the disarmament of illegal armed groups.” This places the group\u2019s arsenal for the first time in direct opposition to formal diplomatic commitments signed by the legitimate authorities of the state.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n In this context, diplomatic circles that closely monitored the drafting of the text in Washington believe that the real danger looming on the horizon is the likelihood of Hezbollah attempting to detonate the entire track on the ground. This could unfold through engineered, wide-scale security and military escalations against Israel on the border\u2014a preemptive move designed to reshuffle the cards, embarrass the Lebanese military delegation, and paralyze the implementation mechanisms of the two pilot zones.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Faced with this evolving reality, projections by the specialized political analysis unit at JNews Lebanon<\/strong> indicate three main scenarios governing the upcoming phase:<\/p>\n Caught between Baabda’s historical pledge to “capitalize on national sacrifices and assert the rule of law” and Hezbollah’s veto which labels the accord a recipe for civil war, Lebanon enters a volatile political tunnel. One thing is certain: the balance of power will never be the same as it was before the Washington talks.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" written by Joyce houeiss for JNews Lebanon\u00a0 The ink has barely dried on the signing of the trilateral “Framework Agreement” in Washington, yet its aftershocks are already reverberating like a political and security earthquake across Lebanese political salons. It raises the ultimate question currently consuming decision-making capitals: Will this agreement fundamentally flip<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71066,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow0Jy2DA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19874],"tags":[21547,20153,21549,21438,19893,21489,20178],"class_list":["post-73476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-exclusive","tag-balance-of-power-in-lebanon","tag-framework-agreement-en","tag-haret-hreik-fury","tag-jnews-exclusive-scoop","tag-joseph-aoun-en","tag-model-zones","tag-washington-negotiations-en"],"yoast_head":"\n<\/h3>\n
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Total Fury in Haret Hreik as Agreement Follows “Baabda’s Terms”<\/h3>\n
Anticipated Scenarios: Will the State Succeed in Asserting Sovereignty?<\/h3>\n
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